Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031633 0.034553 0.037491 0.040663 0.043984 0.047354 0.051025
2026-01-04 0.026839 0.031154 0.035639 0.040626 0.045995 0.051578 0.057804
2026-01-11 0.023569 0.028909 0.034623 0.041139 0.048312 0.055920 0.064555
2026-01-18 0.020959 0.027066 0.033778 0.041604 0.050385 0.059852 0.070750
2026-01-25 0.017608 0.024071 0.031380 0.040101 0.050079 0.061009 0.073767
2026-02-01 0.015375 0.022161 0.030039 0.039631 0.050787 0.063173 0.077793
2026-02-08 0.013628 0.020674 0.029058 0.039457 0.051732 0.065521 0.081954
2026-02-15 0.012795 0.020233 0.029258 0.040615 0.054171 0.069531 0.087968
2026-02-22 0.011928 0.019669 0.029247 0.041469 0.056213 0.073057 0.093408
2026-03-01 0.010978 0.018919 0.028945 0.041919 0.057737 0.075953 0.098104
2026-03-08 0.010000 0.018055 0.028441 0.042072 0.058867 0.078358 0.102207
2026-03-15 0.009456 0.017742 0.028608 0.043031 0.060947 0.081866 0.107583
2026-03-22 0.008242 0.016419 0.027425 0.042282 0.060960 0.082959 0.110188
2026-03-29 0.007482 0.015696 0.026995 0.042461 0.062090 0.085372 0.114342
2026-04-05 0.006948 0.015266 0.026931 0.043088 0.063761 0.088423 0.119246
2026-04-12 0.006426 0.014812 0.026805 0.043612 0.065290 0.091296 0.123938
2026-04-19 0.005316 0.013325 0.025168 0.042090 0.064199 0.090963 0.124783
2026-04-26 0.004626 0.012453 0.024350 0.041616 0.064404 0.092180 0.127460
2026-05-03 0.004083 0.011776 0.023777 0.041442 0.064969 0.093822 0.130636
2026-05-10 0.003931 0.011783 0.024208 0.042635 0.067295 0.097636 0.136439
2026-05-17 0.003713 0.011649 0.024416 0.043514 0.069211 0.100942 0.141630
2026-05-24 0.003416 0.011336 0.024333 0.043977 0.070578 0.103565 0.145992
2026-05-31 0.003075 0.010902 0.024043 0.044135 0.071534 0.105668 0.149717